Ever wondered how a global organization decides to insure a massive project in a high-risk country? It's a question of protecting investments against political upheaval—things like a government seizing assets or a war breaking out. The paper, "Linking Political Risk Insurance Pricing and Portfolio Management with Economic Capital Modeling: A Multilateral Perspective?", by Mikael Sundberg, Faisal Quraishi, and Sidhartha Choudhury, gives us a fascinating look behind the curtain at how the Multilateral Investment Guarantee Agency (MIGA) handles this complex challenge. This paper shows that for an organization like MIGA, pricing political risk insurance (PRI) is much more than a simple calculation. It’s a delicate balancing act between being financially stable and fulfilling a mission to promote development in some of the world's most challenging economies. MIGA, part of the World Bank Group, doesn't just aim to make a profit. It works to optimize its capital to achie...
For multinational companies venturing into the global resources sector, navigating political risk is a constant challenge. This ever-changing landscape demands a nuanced understanding of new threats and effective mitigation strategies. Let's explore four key questions: How have political risks evolved in the past five years? While traditional concerns like expropriation, political violence, and currency restrictions remain, newer threats have emerged: Empowered local voices : Local communities, regional governments, and NGOs now wield significant influence, potentially disrupting operations through protests, legal challenges, or social license withdrawal. Transnational crime and corruption : Criminal networks and corrupt officials can manipulate governments and undermine investments. Non-traditional competitors : State-owned companies, sovereign wealth funds, and other players can intensify competition, creating additional risk. How has the global economy impacted political risks? ...